The Election

It's just less than one week until the election (whew!), and I am glad about that. It still looks good for Obama and the Democrats despite the inevitable tightening of the race. Nate Silver's informative blog, FiveThirtyEight, has an excellent on-going analysis of the daily polling situation, and gives the projected Electoral College, popular vote, and "chance of winning" percentages. He looks at many factors, especially the state-by-state polling, to reach his conclusions. He also provides mini-essays concerning the state of the election, updated daily. Today, his estimate of the race gives Obama a 74.6% chance of winning, up 7 since Oct. 21. Obama seems to be on an upward trend since his disastrous first debate, slowly regaining ground. Although it isn't a sure thing, I'm optimistic that the Republicans will be denied the White House, as well as the Senate. (btw: Silver's blog is highly rated as he has successfully forecasted elections for over a decade.) Know hope.